Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.150898 0.174601 0.200779 0.231831 0.267664 0.307720 0.355907
2025-11-02 0.110910 0.141946 0.179756 0.229200 0.292175 0.369746 0.472645
2025-11-09 0.087293 0.119839 0.162287 0.221690 0.302718 0.409476 0.561034
2025-11-16 0.075432 0.109660 0.156854 0.226656 0.327341 0.467474 0.677722
2025-11-23 0.065595 0.100216 0.150311 0.228044 0.345732 0.517497 0.787842
2025-11-30 0.058489 0.093421 0.146191 0.231665 0.366798 0.572569 0.910590
2025-12-07 0.050894 0.084666 0.137737 0.227140 0.374194 0.606970 1.004604
2025-12-14 0.045008 0.077750 0.131119 0.224354 0.383437 0.644456 1.106773
2025-12-21 0.041083 0.073517 0.128221 0.227091 0.401667 0.697870 1.240544
2025-12-28 0.038979 0.072106 0.129802 0.237470 0.433804 0.777587 1.427777
2026-01-04 0.036487 0.069658 0.129221 0.243805 0.459242 0.847929 1.605573
2026-01-11 0.034116 0.067122 0.128140 0.248976 0.482896 0.917139 1.788297
2026-01-18 0.031501 0.063870 0.125478 0.251070 0.501391 0.979504 1.966647
2026-01-25 0.028573 0.059660 0.120533 0.248186 0.509955 1.024018 2.115563
2026-02-01 0.025437 0.054638 0.113407 0.240057 0.506988 1.045414 2.220008
2026-02-08 0.024018 0.053011 0.112915 0.245432 0.532171 1.125579 2.454089
2026-02-15 0.022372 0.050698 0.110729 0.246934 0.549251 1.190632 2.662993
2026-02-22 0.021097 0.049040 0.109733 0.250854 0.571879 1.269476 2.910133
2026-03-01 0.019235 0.045837 0.105020 0.245956 0.574343 1.304823 3.063869
2026-03-08 0.017704 0.043219 0.101323 0.242941 0.580694 1.349272 3.243004
2026-03-15 0.016733 0.041817 0.100246 0.245903 0.601234 1.427821 3.510307
2026-03-22 0.016372 0.041856 0.102534 0.257138 0.642656 1.558827 3.917341
2026-03-29 0.015749 0.041171 0.103014 0.263996 0.674128 1.669381 4.286145